Voting trends

What could go wrong?

America’s ugly election

A disputed result in November could be dangerous

A house divided

Covid-19 and an atmosphere of distrust pose grave risks to America’s election

New burdens mean the country may not see the sort of clean election result it has come to expect on election night


How construction workers in Ohio view the election

A return to Youngstown points to the solidity and limits of Donald Trump’s fan base

Explore our model

Forecasting the US elections

The Economist is analysing polling, economic and demographic data to predict America’s elections in 2020

The old college try

How America’s electoral college favours white voters

A ballot cast in New Hampshire is 100,000 times likelier to tip the result than one in Washington, DC