Donald Trump and the Republicans

Our election model

Donald Trump could still stage a comeback (again)

The newest polls and economic data have shored up the president’s odds, though they remain worse than in 2016

She persisted, he resisted

The Republican Party in Congress could become even more male

Record numbers of women are running for office, but the party has failed to diversify

The suburban strategy

Donald Trump tries out law-and-order talk on suburban voters

A dispatch from the pundits’ favourite county suggests the president has not yet made a breakthrough


Donald Trump’s language offers insight into how he won the presidency

His linguistic quirks reveal the salesmanship that has made his career